Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio Bobcats | Winthrop Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Winthrop Eagles -3 (74-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Ohio Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeVaughn Washington * | 41 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 22 | -2.7 |
| D.J. Cooper * | 40 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -10.3 |
| Nick Kellogg * | 35 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +2.8 |
| Tommy Freeman * | 34 | 7-11 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | -5.1 |
| Ivo Baltic * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | -10.0 |
| Ricardo Johnson | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -9.4 |
| Reggie Keely | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7.0 |
| T.J. Hall | 11 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -9.6 |
| Adetunji Adedipe | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Asown Sayles | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| David McKinley | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Winthrop Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Middleton * | 40 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 6-9 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 17 | +7.6 |
| Robbie Dreher * | 40 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | +7.5 |
| Charles Corbin * | 34 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 8 | +0.7 |
| George Valentine * | 32 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | +15.5 |
| Andre Jones * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +2.3 |
| Matt Morgan | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | +5.6 |
| Gideon Gamble | 17 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +5.8 |
| Joab Jerome | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +3.1 |
| Justin Burton | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.9 |
* = starter