Model Predictions
| Model | Radford Highlanders | William & Mary Tribe | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: William & Mary Tribe +32 (84-52). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Radford Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tolga Cerrah | 36 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | -16.9 |
| Jareal Smith | 34 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 3 | -15.9 |
| Gorkem Sonmez | 20 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -19.5 |
| Martins Abele | 20 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -1 | -13.3 |
| Blake Smith | 20 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -21.3 |
| Allen Dickerson | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +6.8 |
| Jeremy Robinson | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -12.0 |
| Johnathan Edwards | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -7.3 |
| Lukas Winegarner | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.4 |
| Evan Faulkner | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.6 |
| Daniel Mitchell | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.4 |
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn McDowell | 27 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 14 | +17.2 |
| Kendrix Brown | 25 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 17 | +8.3 |
| Brandon Britt | 25 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +18.9 |
| Matt Rum | 23 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 8 | +0.0 |
| Julian Boatner | 23 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | +16.8 |
| Marcus Kitts | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14 | +11.6 |
| Kyle Gaillard | 17 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | +6.4 |
| Tim Rusthoven | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +4.0 |
| JohnMark Ludwick | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +6.8 |
| Fred Heldring | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Andrew Pavloff | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ben Whitlatch | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Doug Howard II | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter