Model Predictions
| Model | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | Western Carolina Catamounts | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Carolina Catamounts +7 (81-74). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Perrin | 35 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 19 | -5.0 |
| Josh Daniel | 33 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -18.0 |
| Justin Stommes | 31 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 11 | +8.7 |
| Joshua Jones | 29 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | +0.9 |
| Jeff Johnson | 21 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | -11.8 |
| Jabs Newby | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | -4.9 |
| Taylor Filipek | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Jaron Jones | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -7.7 |
| Willie Cruz | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +2.7 |
| Jeff Allgood | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +8.1 |
Western Carolina Catamounts
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harouna Mutombo | 35 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 13 | +12.9 |
| Mike Williams | 34 | 5-16 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | +3.2 |
| Richie Gordon | 32 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -0.3 |
| Brandon Boggs | 32 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 13 | +3.5 |
| Trey Sumler | 31 | 1-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +7.2 |
| Keaton Cole | 17 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | -5.7 |
| Preston Ross | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -9.9 |
| Tawaski King | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +10.0 |
* = starter