Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Western Illinois Leathernecks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Illinois Leathernecks -5 (63-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Stevenett * | 34 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | +0.7 |
| Ray Jones, Jr. * | 32 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 17 | -0.4 |
| Kyle Davis * | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -11.2 |
| Matt Massey * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2.5 |
| Ryan Brimley * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | -3.9 |
| Damon Heuir | 27 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | +2.2 |
| Jake Nielson | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | +5.4 |
| Tyson Koehler | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +0.0 |
| Matt Hodgson | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | -4.5 |
| Jordan Weirick | 8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -9.3 |
| Ramell Taylor | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.8 |
Western Illinois Leathernecks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Houpt * | 39 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +6.3 |
| Jelani Johnson * | 39 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | +0.5 |
| Matt Lander * | 39 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 12-14 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 17 | +1.6 |
| Kaimarr Price * | 36 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | +7.2 |
| Emeka Okafor Jr. * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3.0 |
| Abdou Niang | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +9.1 |
| Mael Amenyedzi | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -10.1 |
| Arsenio Mims | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.5 |
* = starter