Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.6% | 50.4% | +0.1 | ✓ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons +13 (80-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jermaine Mallett * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Adam Leonard * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | - |
| Kyle Weems * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Nafis Ricks * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Will Creekmore * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Nathan Scheer | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Caleb Patterson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Isaiah Rhine | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Corey Copeland | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Wood * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 34 | - |
| H. Little * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| E. Buggs * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| R. Broekhoff * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 19 | - |
| C. Johnson * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 20 | - |
| M. Kenney | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | - |
| M. Rogers | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| J. Harris | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| K. Van Wijk | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Witt | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter