Model Predictions
| Model | Marshall Thundering Herd | Tulane Green Wave | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tulane Green Wave -4 (75-79). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeAndre Kane * | 41 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 6-9 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 13 | +2.3 |
| Damier Pitts * | 34 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | -3.3 |
| Tirrell Baines * | 30 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | +1.4 |
| Nigel Spikes * | 30 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 22 | +10.4 |
| Johnny Thomas * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +6.9 |
| Shaquille Johnson | 27 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Dago Pena | 20 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | +0.7 |
| Orlando Allen | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4.5 |
| Johnny Higgins | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.8 |
Tulane Green Wave
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Timmons * | 45 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 8-14 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | +3.6 |
| Kris Richard * | 41 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 15 | +4.2 |
| Johnny Mayhane * | 40 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -5.7 |
| Jordan Callahan * | 24 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | -2.8 |
| David Booker * | 23 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | -11.3 |
| Trent Rogers | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | -1.8 |
| Kevin Thomas | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +3.1 |
| Kevin Brown | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2.7 |
| Geoff Hogan | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +4.1 |
* = starter