Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | Texas Southern Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Southern Tigers +3 (71-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen Smith | 38 | 8-14 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 14 | -4.1 |
| Savalace Townsend | 35 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 10 | -2.2 |
| Terrell Kennedy | 34 | 3-10 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | +2.1 |
| Gavin Montgomery | 28 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | +13.5 |
| Daniel Broughton | 27 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +14.2 |
| Clay Johnson | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -1.6 |
| Lavoris Weathers | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8.5 |
| Rickey Parks | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -10.1 |
| Marcel Mosley | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6.6 |
Texas Southern Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Galloway | 36 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 16 | -4.7 |
| Travele Jones | 36 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 7 | +1.0 |
| Daniel King | 34 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | +2.7 |
| Lawrence Johnson-Danner | 23 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | -18.9 |
| Harrison Smith | 21 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +0.8 |
| Justin Ray | 20 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | +13.1 |
| Keithtrick Denson | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -2.8 |
| Timothy Price | 13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | -5.5 |
* = starter