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2011-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Delaware State Hornets Tennessee State Tigers Spread Result
Elo 14.1% 85.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 25.7% 74.3% - โœ“
Margin 21.0% 79.0% +7.3 โœ“ (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 35.0% 65.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 20.6% 79.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 20.4% 79.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 34.5% 65.5% - โœ“

Actual: Tennessee State Tigers +15 (78-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Delaware State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Casey Walker 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 2 3 21 26 -
Jay Threatt 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 6 0 0 2 13 21 -
Trevor Welcher 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 6 0 0 12 20 -
Desmond Washington 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 4 8 -
James Marcellus 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 1 0 4 11 -
Terron Stowe 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 4 10 -
A. May 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Brandon Baylor 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Chad Wilson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Jabari Joyner 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Tennessee State Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wil Peters 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 0 0 6 9 12 -
Patrick Miller 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 1 0 1 6 15 -
Jacquan Nobles 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 15 19 -
Robert Covington 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 1 4 12 19 -
Kenny Moore 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 18 25 -
Michael Green 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 2 4 11 -
Tashon Fredrick 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 6 7 -
Chris Conner 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 3 5 7 -
Verkeneo Mann 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 3 5 -
Blake Kirby 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter