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2011-02-19

Model Predictions

Model BYU Cougars TCU Horned Frogs Spread Result
Elo 85.0% 15.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 50.2% 49.8% - โœ“
Margin 65.2% 34.8% -3.5 โœ“ (19.5 off)
Pythagorean 68.6% 31.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 96.4% 3.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 92.1% 7.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 92.1% 7.9% - โœ“

Actual: TCU Horned Frogs -23 (56-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Davies * 32 3-7 0-0 5-7 6 4 0 1 2 11 13 -
Noah Hartsock * 32 3-5 1-1 3-4 8 3 0 1 0 10 17 -
Jimmer Fredette * 31 6-16 3-9 8-9 2 2 0 0 6 23 5 -
Jackson Emery * 26 4-7 2-5 1-2 3 2 1 0 1 11 9 -
Charles Abouo * 20 1-3 1-3 2-4 7 0 0 0 0 5 9 -
Kyle Collinsworth 24 0-0 0-0 1-2 8 3 1 1 1 1 13 -
Stephen Rogers 15 4-6 3-5 4-4 1 0 0 0 0 15 10 -
Logan Magnusson 15 1-1 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 3 6 -
Brock Zylstra 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
James Anderson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Nick Martineau 1 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Hank Thorns * 40 3-17 0-6 1-3 7 12 2 0 3 7 8 -
Greg Hill * 37 3-10 3-7 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 9 3 -
J.R. Cadot * 35 8-11 0-0 1-1 9 1 1 0 2 17 15 -
Garlon Green * 22 4-11 2-3 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 10 2 -
Nikola Cerina * 22 3-5 0-0 1-2 6 1 1 1 0 7 11 -
Amric Fields 23 2-7 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 1 1 4 0 -
Nikola Gacesa 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Jarvis Ray 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter