Model Predictions
| Model | Manhattan Jaspers | Stony Brook Seawolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Stony Brook Seawolves -1 (63-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Manhattan Jaspers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Beamon * | 44 | 7-14 | 2-3 | 7-10 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 18 | +0.8 |
| Demetrius Jemison * | 43 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | +3.5 |
| Kidani Brutus * | 43 | 9-11 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 22 | +5.0 |
| Rhamel Brown * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Mohamed Koita * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
| Michael Alvarado | 35 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | -3.3 |
| Nick Walsh | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +11.2 |
| Andrew Gabriel | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -6.1 |
| Djibril Coulibaly | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -7.2 |
| Kevin Laue | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.9 |
Stony Brook Seawolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leonard Hayes * | 38 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | -8.6 |
| Bryan Dougher * | 34 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | -7.6 |
| Danny Carter * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -9.0 |
| Preye Preboye * | 24 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -8.0 |
| Dallis Joyner * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | +8.9 |
| Marcus Rouse | 30 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 5 | +2.5 |
| Al Rapier | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | -1.5 |
| Anthony Mayo | 13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -2.8 |
| Anthony Jackson | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +6.0 |
| Chris Martin | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.4 |
* = starter