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Texas State Bobcats 70
@
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks 73
2011-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Texas State Bobcats Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 28.4% 71.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 40.1% 59.9% - ✓
Margin 20.7% 79.3% +7.4 ✓ (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 33.9% 66.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 26.1% 73.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 25.3% 74.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 34.1% 65.9% - ✓

Actual: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks +3 (73-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan White * 42 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 9 1 0 2 19 29 -
Tony Bishop * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 1 1 1 0 23 39 -
John Bowman * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 5 9 -
Travis Jones * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 2 1 -
Cameron Johnson * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 4 7 -
Eddie Rios 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 5 -
Matt Staff 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 7 10 -
J.B. Conley 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 8 11 -
Brooks Ybarra 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Uriel Segura 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Eddie Williams * 43 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 5 0 0 1 9 22 -
Jordan Glynn * 42 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 12 17 -
Jereal Scott * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 0 0 30 41 -
Antonio Bostic * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 2 1 3 4 12 -
P. Gardner * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 12 18 -
Mark Gomillia 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 4 6 -
Dion Prewster 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Amos Olatayo 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter