Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels -10 (65-75). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brockeith Pane * | 34 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 11-14 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 19 | +12.7 |
| Pooh Williams * | 33 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Tai Wesley * | 31 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 20 | +9.8 |
| Nate Bendall * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +5.9 |
| Tyler Newbold * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +10.6 |
| Brian Green | 24 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +7.8 |
| Brady Jardine | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +2.0 |
| James Walker III | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -4.5 |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mickey McConnell * | 40 | 5-11 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 7 | -0.2 |
| Matthew Dellavedova * | 38 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +0.8 |
| Clint Steindl * | 21 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -5.3 |
| Rob Jones * | 16 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | -17.7 |
| Tim Williams * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -2.3 |
| Mitchell Young | 32 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 17 | -2.3 |
| Stephen Holt | 24 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3.0 |
| Kenton Walker II | 18 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +6.6 |
| Phil Benson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Tim Harris | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +2.9 |
* = starter