Model Predictions
| Model | Pittsburgh Panthers | St. John's Red Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.9% | 11.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: St. John's Red Storm +1 (60-59). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tray Woodall * | 33 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +5.3 |
| Brad Wanamaker * | 32 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -11.3 |
| Nasir Robinson * | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | -3.9 |
| Gary McGhee * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -3.6 |
| Gilbert Brown * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4.4 |
| Ashton Gibbs | 34 | 8-14 | 6-9 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 16 | +5.6 |
| Dante Taylor | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +6.3 |
| Talib Zanna | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +5.6 |
| Lamar Patterson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4.1 |
| J.J. Richardson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.1 |
St. John's Red Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Hardy * | 32 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 10-12 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | +6.1 |
| Paris Horne * | 30 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +12.3 |
| Justin Brownlee * | 26 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +8.7 |
| D.J. Kennedy * | 24 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | +8.5 |
| Dwayne Polee II * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +4.4 |
| Justin Burrell | 34 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +2.5 |
| Malik Boothe | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -1.9 |
| Sean Evans | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -4.2 |
| Dele Coker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.4 |
* = starter