Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Southern Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Jaguars -13 (50-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivory White | 32 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Kenderek Washington | 32 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Tramaine Butler | 31 | 4-14 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Jeffery Middlebrooks | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Shareif Adamu | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Chris Duncan | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Tramayne Moorer | 13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Dwayne Harvey | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Robert Sanders | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ivan Johnson | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kaylim Noel | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jordan Jefferson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Southern Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jameel Grace | 29 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Lloyd Hickinson | 25 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Quinton Doggett | 22 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Brandon White | 21 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Julius Ingram | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Blake Sanford | 18 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Fredrick Coleman | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Marceis Davis | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Chase | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Patrick Coleman | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Neal Webb | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| John Tatum | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Madut Bol | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter