Model Predictions
| Model | East Carolina Pirates | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Miss Golden Eagles +17 (72-55). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darrius Morrow * | 36 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -7.8 |
| Corvonn Gaines * | 30 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -12.8 |
| Jontae Sherrod * | 29 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | -3.8 |
| Jamar Abrams * | 27 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | +0.1 |
| Erin Straughn * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -18.1 |
| Brock Young | 33 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | -10.1 |
| Robert Sampson | 11 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -11.5 |
| Wakefield Ellison | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -0.8 |
| Darius Morales | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.4 |
| Evan Salzano | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Petar Torlak | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.9 |
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Flowers * | 36 | 13-20 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 23 | +22.2 |
| D.J. Newbill * | 35 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13 | +15.1 |
| R.L. Horton * | 33 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +13.5 |
| Angelo Johnson * | 28 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | +10.1 |
| Maurice Bolden * | 19 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +7.3 |
| Josimar Ayarza | 22 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +0.5 |
| Sai'Quon Stone | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4.9 |
| LaShay Page | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +2.2 |
| Kayland Partee | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter