Model Predictions
| Model | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs -8 (66-74). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Hurtt * | 36 | 5-14 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 1 | -4.4 |
| Bryson Pope * | 29 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 5 | +3.7 |
| Joe Richard * | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -6.4 |
| Scottie Haralson * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +10.9 |
| Steven Idlet * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Jordan Clarkson | 29 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 11 | +7.9 |
| D.J. Magley | 22 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | +4.9 |
| Kodi Maduka | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 14 | -1.5 |
| Tim Peete | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +2.2 |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Mangrum * | 38 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Mike Walker * | 36 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | +1.9 |
| Papa Dia * | 33 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 14 | +3.6 |
| Jeremiah Samarrippas * | 33 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 6 | +3.4 |
| Robert Nyakundi * | 29 | 6-8 | 5-7 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 19 | +13.6 |
| Ryan Harp | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -16.1 |
| Justin Haynes | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -16.1 |
| Aliaksei Patsevich | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter