Model Predictions
| Model | Maine Black Bears | Siena Saints | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Siena Saints +11 (71-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Maine Black Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerald McLemore * | 39 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -3 | -13.9 |
| Troy Barnies * | 32 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | -8.1 |
| Raheem Singleton * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | -7.8 |
| Terrance Mitchell * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 6 | -10.9 |
| Sean McNally * | 13 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +9.2 |
| Alasdair Fraser | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -14.1 |
| Mike Allison | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -14.3 |
| Malachi Peay | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | +1.7 |
| Andrew Rogers | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6.0 |
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Rossiter * | 40 | 7-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 21 | +17.3 |
| O.D. Anosike * | 37 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 18 | +1.9 |
| Rakeem Brookins * | 33 | 4-10 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 7 | +14.8 |
| Clarence Jackson * | 29 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 5 | +13.9 |
| Owen Wignot * | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | +1.0 |
| Trenity Burdine | 22 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | +11.3 |
| Jonathan Breeden | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +1.1 |
| Kyle Downey | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -1.5 |
| Davis Martens | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +4.5 |
| Kyle Griffin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
* = starter