Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks +15 (67-52). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Jackson | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | +1.0 |
| Heath Hoffman | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -13.8 |
| Sultan Toles-Bey | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -2.4 |
| John Dickson | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 18 | -12.0 |
| Alpha N'Diaye | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | -2.7 |
| Duro Bjegovic | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 15 | -15.6 |
| Jackson Carbajal | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -11.8 |
| Kendell Groom | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -7.8 |
| Josh McCarver | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.0 |
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Nutt | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 25 | +10.4 |
| Marland Smith | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 22 | +0.7 |
| Anthony Allison | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | +15.4 |
| Leon Powell | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 24 | +4.9 |
| Marcus Brister | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | +21.5 |
| Cameron Butler | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +5.2 |
| Waylon Jones | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | +2.2 |
| Zach House | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -11.9 |
* = starter