Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | SE Louisiana Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: SE Louisiana Lions -2 (66-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Ingram * | 35 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | +0.3 |
| Brandon Edwards * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2.8 |
| Shaquille White-Miller * | 16 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | -9.3 |
| Bradley Gay * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -2.8 |
| Bryant Smith * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -4.3 |
| LaMarcus Reed III | 39 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 26 | +5.8 |
| Armani Williams | 36 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +4.7 |
| Cameron Catlett | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 6 | +8.2 |
| Jordan Reves | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4 | -2.0 |
| Stuart Lagerson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.2 |
SE Louisiana Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Fortenberry * | 42 | 3-14 | 2-11 | 3-4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | -2.6 |
| David Ndoumba * | 40 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 12 | -1.0 |
| DeShawn Patterson * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | +7.7 |
| Jason Marks * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | +9.4 |
| Trent Hutchin * | 23 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +2.6 |
| Gary Dixon | 33 | 5-14 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | -9.3 |
| Rodney Jones | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -4.8 |
| Roosevelt Johnson | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -7.9 |
| Michael Harrel | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -4.9 |
* = starter