Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | Providence Friars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Providence Friars -12 (81-93). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashad Bishop * | 44 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 17 | +11.5 |
| Cashmere Wright * | 37 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 16 | +8.9 |
| Darnell Wilks * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +2.5 |
| Ibrahima Thomas * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +4.8 |
| Larry Davis * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +6.1 |
| Yancy Gates | 35 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 17 | +3.6 |
| Dion Dixon | 29 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | +8.3 |
| Justin Jackson | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | +15.8 |
| Sean Kilpatrick | 13 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +10.1 |
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MarShon Brooks * | 45 | 12-26 | 2-10 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 7 | -4.7 |
| Vincent Council * | 42 | 4-15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | -6.0 |
| Duke Mondy * | 36 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | -2.2 |
| Kadeem Batts * | 32 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 16 | -9.6 |
| Bilal Dixon * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | -15.5 |
| Ron Giplaye | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +8.0 |
| Gerard Coleman | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7.5 |
| Bryce Cotton | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -8.3 |
| Ray Hall | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.0 |
| Dre Evans | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -4.2 |
| Lee Goldsbrough | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter