Model Predictions
| Model | Santa Clara Broncos | Portland Pilots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Pilots +10 (78-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Roquemore * | 37 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 2-5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 11 | -5.9 |
| Kevin Foster * | 36 | 8-20 | 7-16 | 6-8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 13 | +0.2 |
| Ben Dowdell * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | -5.9 |
| Troy Payne * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -9.5 |
| Niyi Harrison * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.6 |
| Marc Trasolini | 25 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | -9.4 |
| Michael Santos | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | +15.6 |
| John McArthur | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
| Raymond Cowels III | 7 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +8.7 |
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Stohl * | 36 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | +6.0 |
| Nemanja Mitrovic * | 36 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 16 | +7.7 |
| Luke Sikma * | 31 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | +24.0 |
| Tim Douglas * | 24 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 6 | +2.3 |
| Jasonn Hannibal * | 24 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | -13.2 |
| Ryan Nicholas | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -8.0 |
| Riley Barker | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2.6 |
| Derrick Rodgers | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Eric Waterford | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Tanner Riley | 8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -6.3 |
* = starter