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2011-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Santa Clara Broncos Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 85.0% 15.0% -
Bradley-Terry 64.3% 35.7% -
Margin 66.3% 33.7% -3.7 (13.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.2% 49.8% -
Efficiency 73.5% 26.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.9% 48.1% -
Log Adjusted 51.9% 48.1% -

Actual: Portland Pilots +10 (78-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Roquemore * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 4 1 4 14 23 -
K. Foster * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 1 2 29 33 -
B. Dowdell * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 3 10 15 -
T. Payne * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 0 0 6 13 -
N. Harrison * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
M. Trasolini 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 6 9 -
M. Santos 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 0 3 11 -
J. McArthur 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
R. Cowels III 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 0 0 4 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Mitrovic * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 1 1 15 23 -
J. Stohl * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 1 0 0 15 25 -
L. Sikma * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 1 2 0 4 13 23 -
T. Douglas * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 6 0 0 6 10 11 -
J. Hannibal * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 3 15 18 -
R. Nicholas 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
E. Waterford 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 -
D. Rodgers 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 1 1 4 8 -
R. Barker 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 2 1 0 1 -
T. Riley 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 6 -

* = starter