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George Mason Patriots 77
@
Northern Iowa Panthers 71
2011-02-19

Model Predictions

Model George Mason Patriots Northern Iowa Panthers Spread Result
Elo 51.2% 48.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 59.1% 40.9% - ✓
Margin 60.4% 39.6% - ✓
Pythagorean 56.7% 43.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 84.3% 15.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 84.4% 15.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 63.4% 36.6% - ✓

Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers -6 (71-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Andre Cornelius * 36 7-12 5-8 5-6 1 2 1 0 1 24 15 -
Ryan Pearson * 35 4-7 0-1 13-13 15 0 1 0 2 21 28 -
Luke Hancock * 33 5-10 2-6 2-2 3 3 1 0 3 14 8 -
Cam Long * 32 3-6 1-2 1-2 2 3 0 0 2 8 5 -
Mike Morrison * 21 1-4 0-0 1-2 2 6 1 1 0 3 9 -
Isaiah Tate 22 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
Vertrail Vaughns 12 1-4 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
Paris Bennett 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Johnny Williams 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Rashad Whack 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Kwadzo Ahelegbe * 34 7-15 4-8 8-10 3 4 0 0 0 26 18 -
Anthony James * 33 3-5 3-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 9 6 -
Jake Koch * 31 4-9 2-5 4-4 9 5 1 1 3 14 18 -
Johnny Moran * 31 4-11 2-8 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 10 3 -
Austin Pehl * 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Marc Sonnen 29 2-8 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 5 1 -
Kerwin Dunham 22 2-2 1-1 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
Chip Rank 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter