Model Predictions
| Model | UC Irvine Anteaters | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +11 (74-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Wilder * | 30 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | +3.8 |
| Patrick Rembert * | 29 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | -0.4 |
| Pavol Losonsky * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | -10.8 |
| Daman Starring * | 24 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12 | -1.9 |
| Darren Moore * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -8.6 |
| Chris McNealy | 22 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | +2.2 |
| Peter Simek | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -2.3 |
| Derrick Strings | 14 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | -3.0 |
| Derick Flowers | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| Emil Kim | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +1.2 |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Story * | 32 | 5-14 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 4 | +8.4 |
| Dario Hunt * | 32 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 23 | +15.5 |
| Deonte Burton * | 30 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | +10.6 |
| Olek Czyz * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | +4.7 |
| Jerry Evans, Jr. * | 19 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Derrell Conner | 13 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +0.5 |
| Jordan Burris | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -1.8 |
| Kevin Panzer | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Patrick Nyeko | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -1.8 |
| Devonte Elliott | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.1 |
| Jordan Finn | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3.6 |
| Adam Carp | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.6 |
| Keith Fuetsch | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.6 |
| Marko Cukic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3.4 |
* = starter