Model Predictions
| Model | Norfolk State Spartans | North Carolina Central Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Central Eagles +10 (82-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Norfolk State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle O'Quinn | 38 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 17 | -9.9 |
| Aleek Pauline | 37 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 6 | -3.6 |
| Rob Hampton | 31 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 8 | -15.4 |
| Chris McEachin | 30 | 5-15 | 3-11 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | -4.6 |
| Tim Zephyr | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1.5 |
| Pendarvis Williams | 18 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -2.7 |
| Rodney McCauley | 13 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | -6.3 |
| Marcos Tamares | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Brandon Wheeless | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.9 |
| Brandon Goode | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Jordan Weathers | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
North Carolina Central Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Chasten | 40 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 16 | +6.9 |
| Landon Clement | 39 | 9-13 | 5-9 | 5-7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 24 | +4.2 |
| C.J. Wilkerson | 33 | 8-13 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 12 | +1.8 |
| Emanuel Chapman | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +17.1 |
| Marvin Fitzgerald | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Justin Leemow | 17 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8.4 |
| Dijon Manns | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +6.2 |
| Jeremy Ingram | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +5.7 |
| Tracy O'Neal | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8.4 |
| Dwayne Sims | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.3 |
| Michael Glasker | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.8 |
| Timothy Hobbs | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter