Model Predictions
| Model | Northeastern Huskies | UNC Asheville Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UNC Asheville Bulldogs -1 (82-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Northeastern Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaisson Allen * | 39 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 10-13 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 29 | +17.4 |
| Jonathan Lee * | 35 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 14-15 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 21 | +12.4 |
| Kauri Black * | 31 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +17.6 |
| Joel Smith * | 31 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 7 | +9.7 |
| Ryan Pierson * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +7.7 |
| Alex Bates | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | +2.0 |
| Alex Harris | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | +3.2 |
| Dinko Marshavelski | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.5 |
| Chris Avenant | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -6.1 |
| Ben Felix | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
UNC Asheville Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Williams * | 31 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 9 | -13.7 |
| J.P. Primm * | 30 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 9 | -7.1 |
| Matt Dickey * | 30 | 8-13 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 18 | -11.9 |
| Quinard Jackson * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +1.8 |
| Chris Stephenson * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | -9.2 |
| Jaron Lane | 19 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | -6.0 |
| Trent Meyer | 18 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -6.4 |
| Toles Hartman | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5.5 |
| Eric Stubbs | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2.7 |
| D.J. Cunningham | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter