Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern State Demons | McNeese Cowboys | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: McNeese Cowboys +16 (78-62). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Northwestern State Demons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pratt * | 34 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | -12.9 |
| Devon Baker * | 31 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 10-13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 14 | -13.6 |
| Louis Ellis * | 29 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | -16.0 |
| William Mosley * | 28 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | -13.4 |
| Logan McConathy * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -4.4 |
| Shamir Davis | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | -14.8 |
| Gary Stewart | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.7 |
| James Hulbin | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -8.8 |
| Patrick Robinson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.8 |
| Dominic Knight | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +0.3 |
| Tyler Washington | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.5 |
| O.J. Evans | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.7 |
McNeese Cowboys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Kapelan * | 35 | 11-17 | 9-13 | 8-9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 39 | 25 | +18.9 |
| Patrick Richard * | 34 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 15 | +20.9 |
| P.J. Alawoya * | 34 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | +13.6 |
| C.J. Collins * | 30 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +18.9 |
| Preston David * | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +10.3 |
| Daniel Richard | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | +2.4 |
| Stephan Martin | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | +7.0 |
| Dontae Cannon | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Mari Konate | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.1 |
* = starter