Model Predictions
| Model | New Hampshire Wildcats | Marist Red Foxes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Marist Red Foxes +9 (58-49). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New Hampshire Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrone Conley * | 39 | 6-17 | 2-11 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 4 | -16.5 |
| Chandler Rhoads * | 35 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | -13.9 |
| Jordon Bronner * | 32 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -8.5 |
| Dane Diliegro * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -12.6 |
| Brian Benson * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -7.3 |
| DeAndray Buckley | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -9.9 |
| James Valladares | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.4 |
| Scott Morris | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -3.6 |
| Chris Matagrano | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.9 |
| Ryan Herrion | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
Marist Red Foxes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorvell Carter * | 38 | 6-11 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | +8.5 |
| Devin Price * | 37 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 8-8 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | +9.5 |
| Sam Prescott * | 30 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | +4.8 |
| Korey Bauer * | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | +1.7 |
| Jay Bowie * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +8.8 |
| Candon Rusin | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | +14.2 |
| Menelik Watson | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +9.3 |
| Anell Alexis | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +7.1 |
* = starter