Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | Longwood Lancers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Longwood Lancers +7 (79-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Johnson * | 38 | 3-20 | 3-19 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -5 | -6.7 |
| Stephon Carter * | 34 | 1-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -9.2 |
| Donavan Bragg * | 32 | 9-17 | 5-8 | 7-8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 15 | -4.9 |
| Cory Brown * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | -15.9 |
| Rashad Savage * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | -0.1 |
| Donald Johnson | 26 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | +1.5 |
| Reynaul Baker | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -4.6 |
| James Albright | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1.9 |
Longwood Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Mitchell * | 40 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | -2.1 |
| Jeremiah Bowman * | 36 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | +0.2 |
| Antwan Carter * | 36 | 9-16 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 23 | +9.0 |
| Durann Neil * | 35 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +5.3 |
| Martiz Washington * | 32 | 5-13 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 | -1.9 |
| David Robinson | 11 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Earl Gee II | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Jeff Havenstein | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.1 |
| Mark Parker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.9 |
* = starter