Model Predictions
| Model | Iona Gaels | Liberty Flames | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Liberty Flames -20 (57-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Iona Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Glover * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 23 | - |
| Kyle Smyth * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Scott Machado * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Jermel Jenkins * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Trinity Fields | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Sean Armand | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Chris Pelcher | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Randy Dezouvre | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jayon James | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Liberty Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Brown * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 26 | - |
| Evan Gordon * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Jesse Sanders * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 15 | - |
| David Minaya * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| James Spencer * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Antwan Burrus | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Joel Vander Pol | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Chene Phillips | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeremy Anderson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| John-Caleb Sanders | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Sommy Ogukwe | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter