Model Predictions
| Model | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | Lamar Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Lamar Cardinals +17 (73-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Hawkins-Mast * | 34 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 18 | -5.4 |
| Demond Watt * | 33 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 9 | -5.8 |
| Justin Reynolds * | 29 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -13.3 |
| Garland Judkins * | 26 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5 | -2.0 |
| Horace Bond * | 22 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | +0.5 |
| Terence Jones | 29 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | -6.0 |
| Jawan Nelson | 14 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | +2.0 |
| Antonio Topps | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -4.8 |
| Hollis Hill | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Lamar Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Miles * | 31 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | +15.4 |
| Devon Lamb * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 19 | +15.9 |
| Stan Brown * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -10.2 |
| Donley Minor * | 17 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -3 | -11.9 |
| Coy Custer * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -10.3 |
| Mike James | 26 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +11.5 |
| Charlie Harper | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +11.0 |
| Orlando Brazier | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +19.6 |
| Osas Ebomwonyi | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4.3 |
| Kendrick Harris | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -5.9 |
| Brandon Davis | 6 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4.7 |
* = starter