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2011-02-19

Model Predictions

Model San Francisco Dons Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 5.7% 94.3% -
Bradley-Terry 8.9% 91.1% -
Margin 4.2% 95.8% +17.2 (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 26.0% 74.0% -
Efficiency 11.2% 88.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 5.1% 94.9% -
Log Adjusted 5.0% 95.0% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +17 (70-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Doolin * 34 2-4 1-2 0-0 5 4 0 0 2 5 8 -
M. Williams * 32 5-11 3-7 0-0 0 2 0 0 4 13 0 -
A. Caloiaro * 27 2-6 1-4 1-1 9 1 0 1 1 6 10 -
R. Green * 21 2-6 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 6 4 -
M. Diarra * 15 3-7 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 6 -4 -
J. Raffington 24 3-7 0-0 2-5 5 0 1 0 5 8 2 -
M. Petrovic 20 2-7 1-3 2-2 6 0 0 0 3 7 3 -
C. Dickerson 14 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
A. Johnson 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Gray * 34 7-18 3-9 2-2 6 3 2 0 1 19 11 -
M. Carter * 34 7-10 3-5 1-2 5 3 3 0 1 18 18 -
E. Harris * 26 6-12 1-3 1-2 7 2 0 2 1 14 12 -
R. Sacre * 16 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 1 0 0 3 -
D. Goodson * 15 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 5 8 -
D. Stockton 25 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 -3 -
S. Dower 21 4-8 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 8 5 -
K. Olynyk 12 2-5 0-1 2-2 6 0 1 0 1 6 7 -
M. Hart 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
M. Monninghoff 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -2 -
M. Arop 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Keita 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter