Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Greensboro Spartans | Elon Phoenix | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Elon Phoenix +9 (99-90). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UNC Greensboro Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Randall | 36 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +3.9 |
| Brandon Evans | 31 | 10-18 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 16 | +14.5 |
| Korey Van Dussen | 26 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 22 | -14.7 |
| Aaron Brackett | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -3.2 |
| Brian Cole | 22 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | -1.2 |
| Trevis Simpson | 19 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | +2.4 |
| David Williams | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +2.0 |
| Drew Parker | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -3.0 |
| Aloysius Henry | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | -8.1 |
| Cody Henegar | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.1 |
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Long | 40 | 10-14 | 5-8 | 5-5 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 24 | -0.3 |
| Sebastian Koch | 26 | 6-12 | 6-12 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 17 | +1.2 |
| Lucas Troutman | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | +6.6 |
| Jack Isenbarger | 22 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -11.5 |
| Ryley Beaumont | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -3.8 |
| Terrance Birdette | 22 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 6 | +6.0 |
| Brett Ervin | 16 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | +6.1 |
| Scott Grable | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -7.3 |
| Drew Spradlin | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2.1 |
| David Meyer | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.1 |
* = starter