Model Predictions
| Model | Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | Coppin State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Coppin State Eagles +2 (69-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin White | 38 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | +11.8 |
| Hillary Haley | 35 | 8-17 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 18 | +7.0 |
| Freddy Obame Obame | 35 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17 | +11.3 |
| Louis Bell | 24 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | +8.6 |
| Mark Robertson | 23 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +1.6 |
| Diyaaldin Kelley | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -4.4 |
| Dishawn Bradshaw | 11 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | +6.6 |
| Joseph Swift | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +4.7 |
| Tim Burns | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.7 |
| Josh Bright | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.5 |
| Mike Spence | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | +3.2 |
Coppin State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akeem Ellis | 34 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 8 | -10.1 |
| Vince Goldsberry | 30 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | -10.2 |
| Michael Harper | 25 | 7-13 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 7 | +4.7 |
| Michael Murray | 23 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | -2.5 |
| Antonio Williams | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | -8.2 |
| Tony Gallo | 18 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | -15.0 |
| Branden Doughty | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8.1 |
| Ceslovas Kucinskas | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -9.3 |
| Jordan Lee | 11 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -15.9 |
| Collin Johnson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.7 |
* = starter