Model Predictions
| Model | Sam Houston Bearkats | Central Arkansas Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.0% | 12.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.7% | 4.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.8% | 4.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Central Arkansas Bears -8 (62-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Sam Houston Bearkats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lance Pevehouse | 35 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | -3.0 |
| Drae Murray | 33 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -12.9 |
| Josten Crow | 32 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | -0.3 |
| Gilberto Clavell | 31 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 14 | -5.3 |
| Marcus James | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 | -10.0 |
| Nafis Richardson | 23 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Antuan Bootle | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2.8 |
| Aaron Thompson | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +3.6 |
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Dos Santos | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | +4.2 |
| Mike Pouncy | 29 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | +0.9 |
| Mark Rutledge | 29 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +4.2 |
| Dewan Clayborn | 28 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +4.5 |
| Tadre Sheppard | 20 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 12 | +4.9 |
| Imad Qahwash | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -4.2 |
| Terry Tidwell | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +1.1 |
| Chris Henson | 13 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -7.0 |
| Ryan Williams | 12 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | +7.7 |
| T.K. Smith | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +1.2 |
| Jacquan McClinton | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1.1 |
* = starter