Model Predictions
| Model | South Carolina Upstate Spartans | Belmont Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.1% | 97.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 0.5% | 99.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 0.5% | 99.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Belmont Bruins +32 (81-49). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
South Carolina Upstate Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquis Sloan | 31 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +1.5 |
| Mezie Uzochukwu | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1 | +2.2 |
| Shane Porchea | 27 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -9.2 |
| Torrey Craig | 24 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +4.2 |
| Ricardo Glenn | 23 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +7.5 |
| Babatunde Olumuyiwa | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -13.3 |
| Carter Cook | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -6.8 |
| Tony Dukes | 13 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +2.8 |
| Chalmers Rogers | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -10.4 |
| Chandler Hash | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -6.4 |
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Clark | 24 | 7-10 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 17 | -10.9 |
| Drew Hanlen | 22 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4.6 |
| Mick Hedgepeth | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | +5.8 |
| Scott Saunders | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Jordan Campbell | 19 | 5-7 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | +13.3 |
| Kerron Johnson | 18 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | +8.8 |
| Trevor Noack | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -6.6 |
| Blake Jenkins | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +6.4 |
| Jon House | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1.5 |
| J.J. Mann | 13 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +1.7 |
| Brandon Baker | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +11.6 |
| Adam Barnes | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.6 |
* = starter