Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.4% | 56.6% | +1.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans +4 (62-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Washington III * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 20 | - |
| J. Jones * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| J. Sulton * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 21 | - |
| J. Gallman * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| T. Ottley * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | - |
| J. Oden | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Jones | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Hammonds II | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| R. Emanuel | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Hunt | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Charles | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Andre Williams * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Marlon Louzeiro * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Alex Garcia-Mendoza * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Gus Leeper * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Solomon Bozeman * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Matt Mouzy | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Eric Kibi | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| C. Guy | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Montrell Thornton | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | - |
* = starter