Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans +4 (62-58). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Washington III * | 39 | 4-11 | 4-10 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Jason Jones * | 27 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 7-9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| JT Sulton * | 27 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| James Gallman * | 25 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Trevor Ottley * | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Jimmy Oden | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shawn Jones | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kerry Hammonds II | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Rod Emanuel | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kyle Hunt | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Trevor Charles | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Andre Williams * | 31 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Marlon Louzeiro * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Alex Garcia-Mendoza * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Gus Leeper * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Solomon Bozeman * | 20 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 8-11 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Matt Mouzy | 27 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Eric Kibi | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Chuck Guy | 21 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Montrell Thornton | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
* = starter