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2011-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Alabama A&M Bulldogs Alcorn State Braves Spread Result
Elo 72.4% 27.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 70.4% 29.6% - โœ“
Margin 72.7% 27.3% -5.4 โœ“ (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 79.9% 20.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 80.3% 19.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 80.3% 19.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 62.0% 38.0% - โœ“

Actual: Alcorn State Braves -2 (68-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama A&M Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Casey Cantey 36 5-19 0-3 9-11 13 2 4 1 3 19 17 -
Bo Amusa 25 6-11 1-1 4-4 7 1 1 6 3 17 18 -
Desmond Jackson 24 1-8 0-2 0-0 1 4 1 0 3 2 -3 -
Jeremy Crutcher 24 0-4 0-2 0-0 6 4 1 0 3 0 4 -
Cornelius Hester 21 3-7 1-4 2-2 4 1 0 0 5 9 2 -
Jerome Hunter 18 1-5 0-0 3-6 5 0 0 1 1 5 5 -
Jabari Deshields 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 0 3 2 5 -
Demarquelle Tabb 13 3-7 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 0 1 8 8 -
Diamon Alexander 11 2-7 1-4 1-1 3 0 0 0 2 6 0 -
Brandon Ellis 5 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Reggie Porter 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Reginald Martin 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Justin Banks 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Alcorn State Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alex Savannah 28 2-5 0-1 2-4 3 6 2 0 5 6 7 -
Willis Brownlee 26 2-6 1-1 3-4 3 2 2 0 0 8 9 -
Jamar Ragland 26 7-15 1-2 2-4 5 1 1 0 2 17 7 -
Keith Searcy 25 1-8 0-0 1-2 5 3 2 0 1 3 4 -
Ian Francis 21 3-4 0-0 5-10 11 1 2 0 2 11 19 -
Michael Starks 18 1-4 0-0 3-4 2 0 2 1 0 5 6 -
Marquiz Baker 17 1-8 0-4 5-6 1 1 3 0 2 7 2 -
Korey Sanders 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 0 5 -
Kendrick McDonald 11 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 0 -9 -
Shaunvanta Ingram 8 2-3 0-0 3-4 1 0 0 0 3 7 2 -
Michael Martin 4 2-2 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 1 0 4 3 -
Tony Eackles 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter