Model Predictions
| Model | Charleston Southern Buccaneers | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UNC Wilmington Seahawks -5 (58-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Charleston Southern Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamarco Warren * | 37 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 9-10 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 16 | -3.5 |
| Jeremy Sexton * | 36 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Johnathan Brooks * | 34 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +7.3 |
| Kelvin Martin * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | +1.3 |
| Kenny Mitchell * | 19 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +2.4 |
| Troy Pierce | 19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2.4 |
| Sheldon Strickland | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -3.2 |
| Matt Kennedy | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Chris Grier | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -0.8 |
| Zimmy Nwogbo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.3 |
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad Tomko * | 37 | 7-19 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | +4.6 |
| Tanner Milson * | 34 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +1.2 |
| Ahmad Grant * | 34 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Keith Rendleman * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 17 | +4.1 |
| Matt Wilson * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +3.9 |
| Donte Morales | 22 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -6.8 |
| Darryl Felder | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -8.0 |
| Shane Reybold | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1.7 |
* = starter