Model Predictions
| Model | Ole Miss Rebels | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +13 (71-58). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Ole Miss Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Warren * | 33 | 4-14 | 1-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Reginald Buckner * | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Zach Graham * | 30 | 4-14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | -2 | - |
| Terrance Henry * | 29 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Nick Williams * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Trevor Gaskins | 25 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Steadman Short | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Dundrecous Nelson | 12 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Demarco Cox | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Benock * | 37 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Renardo Sidney * | 31 | 8-12 | 1-1 | 5-8 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 22 | - |
| Dee Bost * | 31 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Kodi Augustus * | 30 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Jalen Steele * | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Ravern Johnson | 28 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Wendell Lewis | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Brian Bryant | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| John Reik | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter