Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +13 (69-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rotnei Clarke * | 36 | 4-10 | 4-5 | 9-11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | +7.0 |
| Jeff Peterson * | 29 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | -3.3 |
| Marcus Britt * | 22 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | -4.3 |
| Delvon Johnson * | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -7.7 |
| Marshawn Powell * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +2.9 |
| Michael Sanchez | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +4.1 |
| Mardracus Wade | 20 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -2.6 |
| Glenn Bryant | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -3.3 |
| Julysses Nobles | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | -5.2 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Mitchell * | 37 | 11-15 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 27 | +9.8 |
| Trevor Releford * | 33 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | +14.2 |
| Chris Hines * | 31 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -5.1 |
| JaMychal Green * | 30 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 15 | +18.2 |
| Charvez Davis * | 30 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +10.3 |
| Andrew Steele | 24 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.9 |
| Senario Hillman | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.2 |
| Ben Eblen | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9.2 |
* = starter