Model Predictions
| Model | Central Michigan Chippewas | Niagara Purple Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Niagara Purple Eagles +6 (61-55). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Central Michigan Chippewas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Jackson * | 35 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | -0.5 |
| Trey Zeigler * | 32 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 2-8 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | +3.9 |
| Jalin Thomas * | 31 | 7-18 | 4-8 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 9 | +1.7 |
| John Morris * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +6.7 |
| William McClure * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | +1.1 |
| Andre Coimbra | 24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -11.3 |
| Antonio Weary | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | -9.6 |
| Finis Craddock | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -7.1 |
| Colin Voss | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -8.3 |
| Paris Paramore | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.1 |
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Nelson * | 38 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 12 | +6.1 |
| Kashief Edwards * | 37 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +1.0 |
| Marvin Jordan * | 37 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 5-7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 9 | +4.4 |
| Kevon Moore * | 21 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -1.9 |
| Eric Williams * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -8.9 |
| Scooter Gillette | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | +10.7 |
| Malcolm Lemmons | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -3.3 |
| Skylar Jones | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Paul Kowalski | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter