๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@

Model Predictions

Model Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns Spread Result
Elo 41.5% 58.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 58.7% 41.3% - โœ—
Margin 49.4% 50.6% - โœ“
Pythagorean 56.1% 43.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 72.5% 27.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 72.7% 27.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 47.1% 52.9% - โœ“

Actual: Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns +3 (67-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Steffphon Pettigrew * 35 8-16 0-3 2-3 4 2 1 2 1 18 10 -0.8
Jamal Crook * 34 3-9 0-1 1-2 4 6 2 0 5 7 5 -7.9
Juan Pattillo * 34 5-7 0-0 2-6 8 0 3 1 2 12 15 -5.5
Caden Dickerson * 32 1-4 1-3 2-2 3 2 0 0 0 5 6 -12.4
Sergio Kerusch * 20 3-6 0-2 4-6 1 0 0 0 1 10 4 +2.8
Kahlil McDonald 30 3-9 1-6 3-4 1 0 0 0 1 10 1 -5.4
Teeng Akol 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -8.2
Stephon Drane 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.7

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
JJ Thomas * 39 10-19 1-3 4-5 2 0 0 0 4 25 4 +7.3
Travis Bureau * 38 5-10 3-6 1-4 9 2 0 2 4 14 13 +1.1
Raymone Andrews * 27 2-3 2-2 1-2 2 4 1 0 1 7 10 +15.3
La'Ryan Gary * 20 1-4 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 0 1 3 4 +11.1
Bryant Mbamalu * 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 +12.7
Josh Brown 31 5-9 0-0 1-2 9 0 0 0 2 11 9 -7.1
Randell Daigle 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -6.9
David Perez 11 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 1 -5.5
Javan Mitchell 10 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 1 +3.4

* = starter