Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | DePaul Blue Demons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.2% | 8.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 90.0% | 10.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 98.4% | 1.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 98.4% | 1.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: DePaul Blue Demons -2 (75-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maalik Wayns * | 43 | 5-14 | 0-4 | 7-9 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | -9.1 |
| Antonio Pena * | 40 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | -11.0 |
| Corey Fisher * | 35 | 11-18 | 5-8 | 7-9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 24 | -9.8 |
| Isaiah Armwood * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -17.1 |
| Mouphtaou Yarou * | 26 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | -4.1 |
| Dominic Cheek | 29 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -5.8 |
| James Bell | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2.2 |
| Maurice Sutton | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -7.0 |
DePaul Blue Demons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Melvin * | 35 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 6 | +5.8 |
| Jeremiah Kelly * | 34 | 8-18 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 11 | +10.2 |
| Brandon Young * | 32 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +18.2 |
| Krys Faber * | 26 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | +7.6 |
| Jimmy Drew * | 19 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | +6.5 |
| Tony Freeland | 30 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | +17.0 |
| Moses Morgan | 26 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 10 | +11.7 |
| Michael Bizoukas | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | +1.7 |
| Mike Stovall | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
* = starter