Model Predictions
| Model | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies -14 (69-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zane Johnson * | 36 | 11-17 | 9-15 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 16 | - |
| Jeremiah Ostrowski * | 31 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Valdélicio Joaquim * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Bill Amis * | 29 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Bo Barnes * | 28 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Trevor Wiseman | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Bobby Miles | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Douglas Kurtz | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Harden * | 35 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Mark Payne * | 34 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Todd Lowenthal * | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Eddie Miller * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Ryan Sypkens * | 19 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Josh Ritchart | 23 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Tyler Les | 23 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Mike Kurtz | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ryan Howley | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Alex Tiffin | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter