Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | Long Beach State Beach | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Long Beach State Beach +18 (74-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cherry * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -14.4 |
| Art Steward * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 16 | -12.0 |
| Brian Qvale * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 24 | -13.2 |
| Derek Selvig * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -16.0 |
| Shawn Stockton * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -21.1 |
| Kareem Jamar | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -1.6 |
| Michael Weisner | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Mathias Ward | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | -1.6 |
| Eric Hutchison | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Wood | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2.4 |
| Vaughn Autry | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Chase Adams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +0.1 |
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Plater * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | +17.4 |
| Larry Anderson * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 23 | +23.0 |
| T.J. Robinson * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 22 | +22.0 |
| Casper Ware * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | +14.6 |
| Eugene Phelps * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 23 | +9.5 |
| Edis Dervisevic | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | +2.4 |
| Brandon Nevens | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +4.9 |
| Tristan Wilson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -3.6 |
| Jerramy King | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Lin Chang | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.3 |
| Corey Jackson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Mike Vantrimpont | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Sean Starkey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.4 |
* = starter