Model Predictions
| Model | NJIT Highlanders | UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros -2 (63-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
NJIT Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jheryl Wilson | 36 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | -13.3 |
| Isaiah Wilkerson | 33 | 5-15 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | +2.1 |
| PJ Miller | 32 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -11.2 |
| Chris Flores | 30 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | +0.2 |
| Lamar Kearse | 24 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -9.2 |
| Kherel Silcott | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -2.0 |
| Ryan Regis | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | -6.4 |
| Arjun Ohri | 15 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | -3.7 |
| Sammy Schickel | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8.5 |
| Dytanya Johnson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3.3 |
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Urbanus | 40 | 4-17 | 1-10 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -1 | +9.3 |
| Jared Maree | 36 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | +8.3 |
| Brandon Provost | 35 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | +8.7 |
| Matt Mierzycki | 33 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | +8.8 |
| Julius Hearn | 26 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | +1.9 |
| Ruben Cabrera | 23 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | +5.6 |
| Kieondre Arkwright | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.9 |
| Enique Mason | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Josh Cleveland | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -1.4 |
* = starter