Model Predictions
| Model | The Citadel Bulldogs | Georgia Southern Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Georgia Southern Eagles +12 (65-53). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Wells * | 39 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | -17.7 |
| Zach Urbanus * | 38 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -5 | -14.1 |
| Austin Dahn * | 31 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | -10.6 |
| Mike Groselle * | 25 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 20 | -8.1 |
| Bo Holston * | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Bryan Streeter | 30 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -12.7 |
| DeVontae Wright | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Morakinyo Williams | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -6.8 |
| Daniel Eykyn | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +0.9 |
| Cosmo Morabbi | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Georgia Southern Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Drayton III * | 40 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +6.9 |
| Jelani Hewitt * | 32 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +3.8 |
| Zuri James * | 32 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | +13.0 |
| Rory Spencer * | 27 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | +18.9 |
| Eric Ferguson * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +6.3 |
| Marvin Baynham | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +4.1 |
| Cameron Baskerville | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | +2.6 |
| Justin Taylor | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.5 |
| Tre Bussey | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.4 |
* = starter