Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores -6 (65-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Faried * | 37 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 15 | +6.1 |
| Demonte Harper * | 35 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | +11.4 |
| Ty Proffitt * | 31 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -9.9 |
| Terrance Hill * | 26 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 6-7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | +5.6 |
| Drew Kelly * | 15 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | -3.7 |
| Sam Goodman | 29 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +1.6 |
| Lamont Austin | 27 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | -3.9 |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Walker * | 34 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | +3.7 |
| Dwayne Lathan * | 34 | 7-14 | 0-5 | 11-12 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 23 | +3.5 |
| Aaron Carter * | 31 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +4.0 |
| Jake Odum * | 30 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -7.2 |
| Carl Richard * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | -9.5 |
| Jordan Printy | 21 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +9.8 |
| Steve McWhorter | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +4.9 |
| RJ Mahurin | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +1.2 |
| Isiah Martin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.8 |
| Lucas Eitel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
* = starter