Model Predictions
| Model | UC Riverside Highlanders | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs +19 (68-49). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kareem Nitoto | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | +1.6 |
| Phil Martin | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 18 | -17.1 |
| Javon Borum | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -16.4 |
| Tyquan Brown | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | +0.3 |
| B.J. Shearry | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | +7.8 |
| Elliott Berry | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -23.0 |
| Kevin Bradshaw | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -16.1 |
| Delonte Taylor | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1.0 |
| Daymond Cowlah | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -15.3 |
| Andy Saharan | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.8 |
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Smith | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 39 | +15.7 |
| Kevin Olekaibe | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +16.8 |
| Jonathan Wills | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13 | +16.3 |
| Garrett Johnson | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | -4.8 |
| Steven Shepp | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | +6.2 |
| Bracken Funk | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | +6.0 |
| Tyler Johnson | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 17 | +15.8 |
| Nedeljko Golubovic | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +2.5 |
| John Ryan | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +2.7 |
| Bennie Rhodes | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.1 |
* = starter